According to Hitwise, the following keywords account for around 15% of search traffic that the big players receive:
discount codes, promotional codes, discount vouchers, vouchers
If you add to this all the keyword variants it is probably closer to 20%. Using Hitwise and Google's trafic estimator, I believe the above terms and variants account for at least 50,000 visits per month at this time of year. Average CPC of say, 60p and the outlay for the month is £30K.
I imagine the conversion rates are pretty good. Perhaps in the region of 25%. So from the 50,000 visitors you get 12,500 sales for a cost of £30,000. Average cost per sale of £2.40.
What's the average commission? Maybe 7.5% of £30 = £2.25
Based on the conversion rate of 25% this makes a small loss, but builds the brand awareness of the discount code site. Maybe the conversion rates are better, I don't know. However, if you remove all the merchants who don't offer discount coupons (still the majority), you could see the conversion rate falling to 10% or less. This could make bidding on the above terms, and thus a large portion of the discount sites' brand building, unviable.
In short, the 'forced clicks' to merchants who don't provide codes are subsidising the whole discount code market.
Just my 2p. It could be that my figures are way off the mark.
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