Don't have the time for an essay, but some very interesting points above.
I think we WILL see networks doing full sales path analysis and rewarding all parts of that path accordingly. How this works with cashback sites, I don't know - I would suggest that the simplest suggestion would be that they are only allowed to promote the lowest tier to their consumers? I know one network has this in the pipeline pretty soon.
Secondly, doing away with all affiliate brand bidding would achieve much of this. I appreciate that this would be detrimental to many affiliate businesses, and integrated search campaigns, but it's a thought. (One that one network have been quite pro-active in trying to acheive).
Thirdly merchants and networks will have to liaise more closely with bloggers, reviewers and social content sites to offer them effective revenue models for all parties. Be that CPM, CPA, CPC, CPA with PI sales, tenancy deals, pay-per-review (eek!) or a combination of all. Again this is blurring the line between publishers/affiliates/affiliate networks and media agencies.
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....but I believe that cashbacks and discount sites are perfectly capable of converting a customer all on their own - which means there is no cut and dry rule we can apply to make this fair.
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